This third edition of Causal Analysis with Event History Data Using Stata provides an updated introduction to event history modeling along with many instructive Stata examples. Using the latest Stata software, each of these practical examples develops a research question, points to useful contextual background information, gives a brief account of the underlying statistical concepts, describes the organization of input data and the application of Stata statistical procedures, and assists the reader in interpreting the content of the results obtained. Emphasizing the strengths and limitations…mehr
This third edition of Causal Analysis with Event History Data Using Stata provides an updated introduction to event history modeling along with many instructive Stata examples. Using the latest Stata software, each of these practical examples develops a research question, points to useful contextual background information, gives a brief account of the underlying statistical concepts, describes the organization of input data and the application of Stata statistical procedures, and assists the reader in interpreting the content of the results obtained. Emphasizing the strengths and limitations of continuous-time event history analysis in different fields of social science applications, this book demonstrates that event history models provide a useful approach to uncover causal relation- ships or to map a system of causal relationships. In particular, this book demonstrates how long-term processes can be studied, how different forms of duration dependencies can be estimated using nonparametric, parametric and semiparametric models, and how parallel and interdependent dynamic systems can be analyzed from a causal-analytical point of view using the method of episode splitting. The book also shows how changing contextual information at the micro, meso and macro levels can be easily integrated into a dynamic analysis of longitudinal data. Finally, the book addresses the problem of unobserved heterogeneity of time-constant and time-dependent omitted variables and makes suggestions for dealing with these sometimes difficult methodological problems. Causal Analysis with Event History Data Using Stata is an invaluable resource for both novice and experienced researchers from a variety of fields (e.g. sociology, economics, political science, education, psychology, demography, epidemiology, management research and organizational studies, as well as medicine and clinical applications) who need an introductory textbook on continuous-time event history analysis and who are looking for a practical handbook for their longitudinal research.
Hans-Peter Blossfeld, Prof., Dr. rer. pol. Dr. h. c., has been Emeritus of Excellence at the Graduate Centre Trimberg Research Academy (TRAc) at the University of Bamberg in Germany since April 2020. He held the Chair of Sociology I at the Faculty of Social Sciences, Economics and Business Administration at the University of Bamberg and was Professor of Sociology at the European University Institute in Florence, Italy. Götz Rohwer was Professor Emeritus of Methods of Social Research and Statistics at Ruhr-University Bochum in Germany. He passed away in March 2021. Gwendolin J. Blossfeld is a Postdoc at the Faculty of Social Sciences, Economics and Business Administration at the University of Bamberg in Germany.
Inhaltsangabe
1 Introduction 1 1.1 Causal Modeling and Observation Plans 1.1.1 Cross-Sectional Data 1.1.2 Panel Data 1.1.3 Event History Data 1.2 Event History Analysis and Causal Modeling 1.2.1 Causal Explanations 1.2.2 Transition Rate Models 2 Event History Data Structures 2.1 Basic Terminology 2.2 Event History Data Organization 3 Nonparametric Descriptive Methods 3.1 Life Table Method 3.2 Product-Limit Estimation 3.3 Comparing Survivor Functions 4 Exponential Transition Rate Models 4.1 The Basic Exponential Model 4.1.1 Maximum Likelihood Estimation 4.1.2 Models without Covariates 4.1.3 Time-Constant Covariates 4.2 Models with Multiple Destinations 4.3 Models with Multiple Episodes 5 Piecewise Constant Exponential Models 5.1 The Basic Model 5.2 Models without Covariates 5.3 Models with Proportional Covariate Effects 5.4 Models with Period-Specific Effects 6 Exponential Models with Time-Dependent Covariates 6.1 Parallel and Interdependent Processes 6.2 Interdependent Processes: The System Approach 6.3 Interdependent Processes: The Causal Approach 6.4 Episode Splitting with Qualitative Covariates 6.5 Episode Splitting with Quantitative Covariates 6.6 Application Examples 7 Parametric Models of Time Dependence 7.1 Interpretation of Time Dependence 7.2 Gompertz Models 7.3 Weibull Models 7.4 Log-Logistic Models 7.5 Log-Normal Models 8 Methods for Testing Parametric Assumptions 8.1 Simple Graphical Methods 8.2 Pseudoresiduals 9 Semiparametric Transition Rate Models 9.1 Partial Likelihood Estimation 9.2 Time-Dependent Covariates 9.3 The Proportionality Assumption 9.4 Stratification with Covariates and for Multiepisode Data 9.5 Baseline Rates and Survivor Functions 9.6 Application Example 10 Problems of Model Specification 10.1 Unobserved Heterogeneity 10.2 Models with a Mixture Distribution 10.2.1 Models with a Gamma Mixture 10.2.2 Exponential Models with a Gamma Mixture 10.2.3 Weibull Models with a Gamma Mixture 10.2.4 Random Effects for Multiepisode Data 10.3 Discussion 11 Sequence Analysis Brendan Halpin 11.1 What is Sequence Analysis? 11.1.1 Sequence Data 11.1.2 The Value of a Holistic View 11.2 Defining Distances 11.2.1 Hamming Distance 11.2.2 Optimal Matching Distance 11.2.3 Other Distances 11.2.4 Determining State Distances 11.3 Doing Sequence Analysis in Stata . 11.3.1 Example Data 11.3.2 A First Look at the Data 11.4 Unary Summaries 11.5 Intersequence Distance 11.6 What to Do with Sequence Distances? 11.7 Optimal Matching Distance 11.8 Special Topics 11.8.1 Other Distance Measures 11.8.2 Ideal Types 11.8.3 Multichannel Sequence Analysis 11.8.4 Dyadic Analysis 11.9 Conclusion Appendix: Exercises References About the Authors
1 Introduction 1 1.1 Causal Modeling and Observation Plans 1.1.1 Cross-Sectional Data 1.1.2 Panel Data 1.1.3 Event History Data 1.2 Event History Analysis and Causal Modeling 1.2.1 Causal Explanations 1.2.2 Transition Rate Models 2 Event History Data Structures 2.1 Basic Terminology 2.2 Event History Data Organization 3 Nonparametric Descriptive Methods 3.1 Life Table Method 3.2 Product-Limit Estimation 3.3 Comparing Survivor Functions 4 Exponential Transition Rate Models 4.1 The Basic Exponential Model 4.1.1 Maximum Likelihood Estimation 4.1.2 Models without Covariates 4.1.3 Time-Constant Covariates 4.2 Models with Multiple Destinations 4.3 Models with Multiple Episodes 5 Piecewise Constant Exponential Models 5.1 The Basic Model 5.2 Models without Covariates 5.3 Models with Proportional Covariate Effects 5.4 Models with Period-Specific Effects 6 Exponential Models with Time-Dependent Covariates 6.1 Parallel and Interdependent Processes 6.2 Interdependent Processes: The System Approach 6.3 Interdependent Processes: The Causal Approach 6.4 Episode Splitting with Qualitative Covariates 6.5 Episode Splitting with Quantitative Covariates 6.6 Application Examples 7 Parametric Models of Time Dependence 7.1 Interpretation of Time Dependence 7.2 Gompertz Models 7.3 Weibull Models 7.4 Log-Logistic Models 7.5 Log-Normal Models 8 Methods for Testing Parametric Assumptions 8.1 Simple Graphical Methods 8.2 Pseudoresiduals 9 Semiparametric Transition Rate Models 9.1 Partial Likelihood Estimation 9.2 Time-Dependent Covariates 9.3 The Proportionality Assumption 9.4 Stratification with Covariates and for Multiepisode Data 9.5 Baseline Rates and Survivor Functions 9.6 Application Example 10 Problems of Model Specification 10.1 Unobserved Heterogeneity 10.2 Models with a Mixture Distribution 10.2.1 Models with a Gamma Mixture 10.2.2 Exponential Models with a Gamma Mixture 10.2.3 Weibull Models with a Gamma Mixture 10.2.4 Random Effects for Multiepisode Data 10.3 Discussion 11 Sequence Analysis Brendan Halpin 11.1 What is Sequence Analysis? 11.1.1 Sequence Data 11.1.2 The Value of a Holistic View 11.2 Defining Distances 11.2.1 Hamming Distance 11.2.2 Optimal Matching Distance 11.2.3 Other Distances 11.2.4 Determining State Distances 11.3 Doing Sequence Analysis in Stata . 11.3.1 Example Data 11.3.2 A First Look at the Data 11.4 Unary Summaries 11.5 Intersequence Distance 11.6 What to Do with Sequence Distances? 11.7 Optimal Matching Distance 11.8 Special Topics 11.8.1 Other Distance Measures 11.8.2 Ideal Types 11.8.3 Multichannel Sequence Analysis 11.8.4 Dyadic Analysis 11.9 Conclusion Appendix: Exercises References About the Authors
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