Robyn Dawes defines irrationality as adhering to beliefs that are inherently self-contradictory, not just incorrect, self-defeating, or the basis of poor decisions. Such beliefs are unfortunately common. This book demonstrates how such irrationality results from ignoring obvious comparisons, while instead falling into associational and story-based thinking. Strong emotion-or even insanity-is one reason for making automatic associations without comparison, but as the author demonstrates, a lot of everyday judgment, unsupported professional claims, and even social policy is based on the same kind of "everyday" irrationality.…mehr
Robyn Dawes defines irrationality as adhering to beliefs that are inherently self-contradictory, not just incorrect, self-defeating, or the basis of poor decisions. Such beliefs are unfortunately common. This book demonstrates how such irrationality results from ignoring obvious comparisons, while instead falling into associational and story-based thinking. Strong emotion-or even insanity-is one reason for making automatic associations without comparison, but as the author demonstrates, a lot of everyday judgment, unsupported professional claims, and even social policy is based on the same kind of "everyday" irrationality.
Preface -- Irrationality Is Abundant -- Irrationality Has Consequences -- Irrationality: Emotional, Cognitive, Both, or Neither? -- Irrationality as a "Reasonable" Response to an Incomplete Specification -- Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality -- Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment -- Good Stories -- Connecting Ourselves with Others, Without Recourse to a Good Story -- Sexual Abuse Hysteria -- Figure Versus Ground (Entry Value Versus Default Value) -- Rescuing Human Rationality
1 Irrationality Is Abundant 2 Irrationality Has Consequences 3 Irrationality: Emotional Cognitive Both or Neither? 4 Irrationality as a "Reasonable" Response to an Incomplete Specification 5 Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality 6 Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment 7 Good Stories 8 Connecting Ourselves with Others Without Recourse to a Good Story 9 Sexual Abuse Hysteria 10 Figure Versus Ground (Entry Value Versus Default Value) 11 Rescuing Human Rationality
Preface -- Irrationality Is Abundant -- Irrationality Has Consequences -- Irrationality: Emotional, Cognitive, Both, or Neither? -- Irrationality as a "Reasonable" Response to an Incomplete Specification -- Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality -- Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment -- Good Stories -- Connecting Ourselves with Others, Without Recourse to a Good Story -- Sexual Abuse Hysteria -- Figure Versus Ground (Entry Value Versus Default Value) -- Rescuing Human Rationality
1 Irrationality Is Abundant 2 Irrationality Has Consequences 3 Irrationality: Emotional Cognitive Both or Neither? 4 Irrationality as a "Reasonable" Response to an Incomplete Specification 5 Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality 6 Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment 7 Good Stories 8 Connecting Ourselves with Others Without Recourse to a Good Story 9 Sexual Abuse Hysteria 10 Figure Versus Ground (Entry Value Versus Default Value) 11 Rescuing Human Rationality
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