Learn state-of-the-art methods for making logically sound decisions when faced with multiple conflicting objectives and uncertainty.Hinweis: Dieser Artikel kann nur an eine deutsche Lieferadresse ausgeliefert werden.
Ali E. Abbas is Professor of Industrial and Systems Engineering and Professor of Public Policy and Governance at the University of Southern California. He directs the Center for Decisions and Ethics (DECIDE) and previously directed the Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). His research covers all aspects of decision making under uncertainty broadly defined. He has written two books and edited two others, and has more than 100 refereed publications in the field of decision analysis. He is editor of numerous professional journals and has extensive media coverage on all aspects of decision making and risk.
Inhaltsangabe
Part I. Foundations of Preference, Value, and Utility: 1. Preference, value, and utility 2. Foundations of expected utility 3. Some flawed methods of decision making Part II. Deterministic Decisions: 4. The order rule: preferences for deterministic consequences 5. Getting the attributes right 6. Preference functions for single attributes 7. Preference functions for multiple attributes 8. Additive preference functions 9. Valuing deterministic consequences - value functions Part III. Decisions with Uncertainty: Multi-attribute Utility Functions Using a Value Measure: 10. Single-attribute utility function 11. Multi-attribute utility functions using preference and value functions 12. Utility functions over additive preference or value functions Part IV. Decisions with Uncertainty: Properties of Single-Attribute Utility Functions: 13. The role of the utility function in valuing uncertain deals 14. The risk aversion function 15. Scale transformations applied to lottery outcomes 16. The invariant transformation of a utility function 17. Valuing changes in investment opportunities 18. One-switch utility functions 19. Utility transversality 20. Multi-attribute risk aversion Part V. Decisions with Uncertainty: Multi-attribute Utility Functions without Preference or Value Functions: 21. Attribute dominance utility 22. The two-attribute utility tree 23. Independence conditions for two attributes 24. The multi-attribute utility tree 25. Independence conditions for three or more attributes 26. Higher-order independence conditions 27. One-switch utility independence Part VI. Utility Copula Formulations: 28. Multi-attribute utility copulas 29. Archimedean utility copulas 30. Assessing Archimedean utility copulas 31. Utility copula functions matching all boundary assessments 32. Bidirectional one-switch ordinal copulas 33. Reflections of what we have learned.
Part I. Foundations of Preference, Value, and Utility: 1. Preference, value, and utility 2. Foundations of expected utility 3. Some flawed methods of decision making Part II. Deterministic Decisions: 4. The order rule: preferences for deterministic consequences 5. Getting the attributes right 6. Preference functions for single attributes 7. Preference functions for multiple attributes 8. Additive preference functions 9. Valuing deterministic consequences - value functions Part III. Decisions with Uncertainty: Multi-attribute Utility Functions Using a Value Measure: 10. Single-attribute utility function 11. Multi-attribute utility functions using preference and value functions 12. Utility functions over additive preference or value functions Part IV. Decisions with Uncertainty: Properties of Single-Attribute Utility Functions: 13. The role of the utility function in valuing uncertain deals 14. The risk aversion function 15. Scale transformations applied to lottery outcomes 16. The invariant transformation of a utility function 17. Valuing changes in investment opportunities 18. One-switch utility functions 19. Utility transversality 20. Multi-attribute risk aversion Part V. Decisions with Uncertainty: Multi-attribute Utility Functions without Preference or Value Functions: 21. Attribute dominance utility 22. The two-attribute utility tree 23. Independence conditions for two attributes 24. The multi-attribute utility tree 25. Independence conditions for three or more attributes 26. Higher-order independence conditions 27. One-switch utility independence Part VI. Utility Copula Formulations: 28. Multi-attribute utility copulas 29. Archimedean utility copulas 30. Assessing Archimedean utility copulas 31. Utility copula functions matching all boundary assessments 32. Bidirectional one-switch ordinal copulas 33. Reflections of what we have learned.
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