Ian Budge, Dennis J. Farlie

Explaining and Predicting Elections (eBook, PDF)

Issue Effects and Party Strategies in Twenty-Three Democracies

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

First published in 1983, Explaining and Predicting Elections is the first cross-national and comprehensive explanation of election results. It considers why one election differs from another and attempts to account for party gains and losses in the elections which have taken place in twenty-three democracies in the post-war period.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Taylor & Francis eBooks
• Seitenzahl: 244
• Erscheinungstermin: 1. August 2025
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781040403099
• Artikelnr.: 74402001

Autorenporträt

Ian Budge is a political scientist who has pioneered the use of quantitative methods to study party democracy across countries. Currently Emeritus Professor of the Department of Government, University of Essex, he has been Professor at the European University Institute, Florence, and visiting professor at various institutions in five other countries.

Dennis J. Farlie

Inhaltsangabe

Introduction 1. Previous Work 2. Saliency Theory 3. Issues and Votes 4.
Predicting Elections 5. Electoral Volatility 6. Party Appeals 7. General
Theory References Appendix A: Postwar Votes in Twenty-Three Democracies
Appendix B: Issues and Scorings for Individual Postwar Elections in
Twenty-Three Democracies Appendix C: The Coding of Issues: Procedures and
their Validity Appendix D: Scoring Election Issues: Assumptions and
Performance of Alternative schemes