Karl Spielmann

The Logic of Intelligence Analysis (eBook, ePUB)

Why Hypothesis Testing Matters

• Format: ePub

Produktbeschreibung

This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Taylor & Francis eBooks
• Seitenzahl: 120
• Erscheinungstermin: 12. Juni 2018
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9780429891885
• Artikelnr.: 56833144

Autorenporträt

Karl Spielmann is a retired Senior Analyst who worked in the Denial and Deception component of the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence and on the U.S. inter-agency National Intelligence Council. He holds a PhD in Political Science from Harvard University.

Inhaltsangabe

Preface: Revisiting an Old Problem: New Concerns, New Remedies Chapter 1: Maybe It's Time for Something Different Chapter 2: Strengthening Intelligence Threat Analysis Chapter 3: Using Enhanced Analytic Techniques for Threat Analysis: A Case Study Illustration Chapter 4: I Got Algorithm: Can There Be a Nate Silver in Intelligence?

Rezensionen

'Intelligence analysts, those training for the job, and people interested in analytic tradecraft need to understand the intellectual challenges and pitfalls of predicting what adversaries will do. Even more, they need better tools. These are provided by Karl Spielmann, who brings to bear his life-long experience in the CIA and National Intelligence Council to show how we can improve analysis'. - - Robert Jervis, Columbia University, USA

'Intelligence analysts, those training for the job, and people interested in analytic tradecraft need to understand the intellectual challenges and pitfalls of predicting what adversaries will do. Even more, they need better tools. These are provided by Karl Spielmann, who brings to bear his life-long experience in the CIA and National Intelligence Council to show how we can improve analysis'. - - Robert Jervis, Columbia University, USA